Venezuelan Politics:
As the all-important month of October draws ever closer, many Venezuelans are questioning their fate should Chavez claim victory at the upcoming presidential elections. Hugely popular at his inauguration in 1999 and capturing the world’s attention with his neoliberalism and leftist speeches, Chavez has retained his seat of power for 13 years. After a rollercoaster ride of constitutional referendums, the emergence of an explicitly socialist party and a downturn in national economic viability, many Venezuelans are asking the same question;
Why should Hugo Chavez be given another term? This voice does not simply come from the right-wing either. Many leftists are concerned that their once-beloved Chavez, who may or may not lose his fight with cancer is no longer the optimal choice of candidate. Food is a basic necessity- so much more than a ‘right’, for without it the body perishes. Supplying low-cost food to the poor seemed like a good idea to Chavez and it certainly won him the support of the people at one point. But after 13 years of implementing strategies such as increasing domestic production through nationalizing large parts of the food industry to increase food supplies, food shortages are now higher than ever. It turns out that Chavez was wrong- the government cannot feed people more efficiently than the private sector an. Thus if people vote with even just their belly, Chavez is not the candidate of choice. How can he be?
In what seems to be a last-ditch attempt to sway the doubts of many, Hugo Chavez's latest appearance with former Brazilian President and man-with-the-golden-touch Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was observed by the world. The hungry eyes of Venezuela will tend to overestimate the importance of Lula’s support for Chavez in the hope that the magic Lula worked for Brazil (making it the five largest global economy) might rub off onto their president should he hold office into yet another term.
Or is it time for a change?
Closing in on Chavez is Henrique Capriles Radonski, a 39-year-old Venezuelan state governor, a lawyer by profession, who was in fact imprisoned in 2004 by Chavez (but later acquitted) on charges of trespass, intimidation and "violating international principles". The reason that Radonski is the one to beat is simple: his campaign offers a calm solution to the economic crisis that Venezuela suffers beside its booming, thriving neighbour Brazil. This is slowly but steadily earning the trust of the people who really do want to see a change and hey, they having nothing to lose.
Chavez’s popularity on the other hand tends to plummet and skyrocket as he manipulates the voters with emotive leftist speeches and then disappoints them by sending their oil to Cuba and damaging their food supply. How can voters think straight in conditions such as these?
As Radonski continues to offer a more practical approach that focuses on the preparation of strategies to piece the economy and democratic institutions of Venezuela back together, this is one presidential election trail to watch.
If you are Venezuelan, please vote this October 7th. Make the effort, the country needs you.
